Friday, April 02, 2010

P 94 Hulu Selangor : First thoughts... sure no go

Now that the Election Commission has set the nomination date and polling date for P94, let's go for an initial walk there...

17th April is almost 3 weeks away and I wonder what makes EC to decide on 17th April as the nomination day? Carnival-like atmosphere, perhaps?

The first thing that crossed my mind is the possible candidates. This time I am not going for the indepth analysis on who and why he should be the candidate but I am basing on what I would like to see (which will never happen, of course)...

My first choice is for BN to choose Saiful Bahari to stand in P94. Saiful Bahari? Yes, that Saiful Bahari who met with Najib Razak on pretext of "scholarship" to "continue" his studies in one of the local unversities. This will be the best BN weapon to win P94 and for good measure, BN will use the Saiful Bukhari issue to challenge Anwar to stand in P94 on a mano to mano straight fight with Bukhari. It will be a tremendous moral win for BN because Anwar will never stand in P94. Reason? He is already an elected MP for Permatang Pauh and it is almost impossible for him to resign from Permatang Pauh to stand in P94. But that won't be an issue. The issue that BN will be harping is Anwar dare not stand in P94 to go against Saiful. Forget about the fact that Anwar could not stand in P94 as he is already an elected MP and even if he decides to resign from Permatang Pauh, he will be barred from contesting in the next 5 years...

My second choice is for BN to go for Muhammad Muhammad Taib to stand in P94. With 52.7 % malay voters in P94, Muhammad Muhammad Taib will use P94 as his platform to return actively into UMNO politics. BN can forget about Palanivel as he is already a wash-out and Muhammad Muhammad Taib will definitely brings the fireworks into P94 campaign. Issues like the Australian case, PERKASA will hog the spotlight and if Bagan Pinang is an example, Muhammad Muhammad Taib can be the "Selangor comeback kid" mirroring Isa Mad Samad in NS.

My third choice will then fall to G Palanivel. Palanivel will have an extra burden to carry. But winning P94 will be the catalyst he needs to dispose Samy Vellu. The question is - will Samy Vellu allow Palanivel to win P94 when he knows that a victory for Palanivel will be his political tomb? Palanivel will have trouble to win the heart of the Indians and he will have more problems to win the hearts of the non-Indians.

My next choice for BN? Muhyiddin may gloat that BN is spoilt with the many potential candidates but actually, selecting other than these three will mean BN has lost the fight before the bell rings.

Some may ask the logic of putting on Saiful Bukhari to stand in P94. Let me expand my reasoning further. Remember Loh Gwo Burne? He was practically a nobody before he expose the Lingam-gate video. What happen after that is history. Why not BN emulate PKR's strategy here? Afterall, isn't Anwar has been declaring that BN are taking pointers from PR in NEM? Saiful has make a devastating claim now known as sodomy II. And Saiful has been linked with 1MPM6, so why not use this opportunity to push Saiful forward to unleash his fury against Anwar and PR in P94. That will be a great day when Saiful can face off Anwar in Parliament, if and when he manage to win P94.

Further, an independent poll indicates that Najib has 69 % approval rating, higher than what he has a year before. So, why not combine his approval rating with Saiful's presence to win over P94? Winning P 94 will also means that BN is a vote closer to regaining their lost 2/3 majority.

So, what say you BN? care to put Saiful standing in P94? I bet, BN will not do that but hey...I just wish they would. I love to hear Saiful's juicy tales in P94 together with Ezam's boxes laced with Zahrain's acidic 16th Sept conspiracy topped up with Zul Nordin's "inside stories". Talking about that, why didn't BN named Ezam as their candidate? Or is Ezam a spent force within BN?

PR? It seems that their potential candidate list is growing by the hour. That either points out that they have such a talented bunch of potential candidates or it might also means that there are already serious infighting for a chance to be called YB...



Till then...G'nite M'sia...wherever u are...

4 comments:

Apaka said...

why not samy himself...

nightcaller said...

Apaka

Samy? He needs excuses if MIC lose. What excuse can he offer if Samy himself contest the seat and lost?

looes74 said...

Zaid Ibrahim looks favourite....I hope that he would be the candidate.

Zaid Ibrahim reminds me of one fella in Singapore. Sinnathamby Rajaratnam, son of Seremban who becomes the left hand man of Lee Kuan Yew. The Thinker, The Idealist, The Peramah.

S Rajaratnam stood in Kampong Glam, supposedly malay area (of course, majority are chinese lah) & win.

(Hehe....Dnighcaller, you should come to Kampong Glam. STB has turned it into an Arab/Malay historical area....)

Lets make Hulu Selangor, the Kampung Glam of Selangor

Read these interesting links:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/S._Rajaratnam

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kampong_Glam

nightcaller said...

Looes74

I would not hesitate on choosing Zaid Ibrahim if this is GE. However, this is a by-election and many factors should be taken into account including locality and the voters sentiment.

Remember KT parliament by-election? Although Mat Sabu is the lead choice for PAS, in the end they have to turn to Wahid Endut ( a local) to wrest the seat from BN.

The same here. If BN decides to give Palanivel a second chance, it is bye-bye BN, helloo PR. However, if BN decides to put another MIC candidate and prode Perkasa to put in an independent candidate, it will be touch and go...and the locality factor will undoubtedly plays an important role to secure that few hundreds precious votes.

Kampung Glam? Is that the place where a big chunk of land belongs to one royalty clan from the east coast? Don't be surprise if I drop by during the coming Mayday..and soaked myself wet in universal studios, courtesy of Genting Singapore :)