4 is not a good number to Chinese. 13 is also not a good number for English. If we have 4 out of 13, both being "unlucky" numbers, what will that bring? Does 2 bad numbers gives an "ong" number?
- It's calm on the surface but simmering underneath. It's going to erupt soon but where is the softest spot? Where will it erupts first?
- BN, Malaysia's ruling party, is made up of 13 component parties. 13? Yes 13, Pak Lah's favourite number when SAPP withdrew from BN on 17th September 2008.
- Out of these 13 component parties, 4 is rumbling into trouble.
- First up is SBDP (Sarawak Progressive Democratic Party). It's treasurer, Tiong King Sing happens to control 70 % of Wijaya Baru Holdings Sdn Bhd (WBHSB), a construction and reclaimation company involved in PKFZ. There is nothing wrong for politicians to own shares in companies. But WBHSB's subsidiary, KDSB, may have conflicet of interest in the possible RM12.4 B project.
- The issue becomes hotter because Ting happens to be the current BN's Backbenchers club's chairman. If Ting is found guilty of conflict of interest, it is going to affect BN. MACC has been handed a copy of PKFZ's audit report, prepared by PWC. MACC has to prove that they are free to investigate. Will BN respond by restraining their elected reps from being active in companies? BN management committee may need to look seriously into this issue.
- One of Perikatan's and BN's co-founder is also showing signs of internal bickering. MCA, the party that saved Tun M when UMNO was first de-registered in the 80's is having its own problems.
- It has been an open secret that OTK does not see eye to eye with his deputy, CSL. In fact, SCL is not considered during the latest cabinet reshuffle. MCA's number 2 has been sidelined. Is it wrong then, if CSL studies his options including joining PR? BN has appointed CSL as BN co-ordinator in PR-led states. Is that the best BN can offer CSL? Will that appointment buy CSL's loyalty to BN?
- It should be noted that there is growing dissatisfaction against OTK, including in Johor, MCA's stronghold state. If CSL leaves BN for PR and Johor MCA cross over, can MCA survive GE 13? Can BN survive ?
- Next to step in is PPP, the party who was once Perak's kingmaker during its heydays. Now, it has 2 Presidents. Both claim legitimacy, both claimed to represent PPP. So, who is the legally correct President?
- Najib is torn between the 2 Presidents. Can he afford to offend any of them?
- Up north, Gerakan is set to lose few hardened members. Gerakan's VP is set to leave the party. His time frame? Within the next 3 weeks. His reasons? inconceivable differences.
- Gerakan's VP, Huan Cheng Guan, however indicated he is willing to meet Koh Tsu Koon and Najib to discuss his move.
- There you have it. 4 component parties in BN is rumbling to trouble. Individually, their trouble may be easy to resolve. Collectively, it proves that BN is sick to the core. It's getting cancerous and contagious.
- Will MIC follow suit? Will MIC split, comes September 2009?
- Najib may be running out of options soon. If BN component parties are rumbling to trouble, there is every possibility that Najib has no hoice but to call for snap election. Will that happen?
- PR needs to strengthened their ranks. PKR, the weakest link needs to fortify its party fast.
- Above all, the real kingmakers ie the voters are assessing the situation. May the better coalition wins...
Till then...G'nite M'sia...wherever u are...