Kelantan N41 : The pre-war...

Manek Urai past results

1. Manik Urai, a small state constituency in Kelantan, will host a gathering of more than 1000 police force soon, July 2009 to be exact. That will be a ratio of 1 police personnel for every 12 registered voters. Another one for Malaysia's Book of Records?
   
2. Previously, somewhere in the scrapbook, the police top commands reportedly say that there are 80,000 police personnel to safeguard 26 million Malaysians. That works out to 1 police personnel for every 325 Malaysian. Note that we are talking Malaysia and Malaysians. Foreign workers and expatriates not included.
   
3. In peaceful countries, the proper ratio is between 1 to 4 police personnel for every 1000 population and that works out to 1 to every 250 (in worst case scenario). In strife torn countries the ratio dramatically change to 20 police personnel to every 1000 residents and that works out to 1 police personnel for every 50 residents. These numbers are extracted from "The surge can succeed" by Major Jarett Broemmel and co.
4. If strife torn countries has 1 police personnel for every 50 residents, why is Manek Urai is going to have 1 police personnel for every 12 registered voters? Is Manek Urai worse than strife torn countries? This scribe hope that the IGP can provides a proper explanation. We are talking allowances, logistics, transportation etc...This is peoples money that the police is going to spend now.
5. Although, it is 3 weeks off before the nomination date but the campaign has already started with both BN and PAS making visits to manek Urai. Even Ibrahim Ali, the partyless man, is also visiting Manek Urai. Is Ibrahim Ali thinking of contesting Manek Urai as an independent? Ibrahim can use Manek Urai as his referendum and prove to both PAS and BN that he is still a force to be reckon with...
6. Mustapa Mohamad promised that the federal government will "adopt" Manek Urai if BN wins the by-election. Is Mustapha promising "a bridge too far"? Why Manek Urai? Why not Penanti? BN will have better credibility if BN were to "adopt" Penanti since BN decided to abandon Penanti in the recent by-election. And the 1 miilion ringgit question - why did Mustapa choose Manek Urai? Is it because Manek Urai is near Gua Musang, Tg Razaleigh's traditional and longtime lair?
7. PAS is no better in Manek Urai. Some have openly suggesting that Hadi Awang, Nasharuddin and Mustapha Ali to avoid Manek Urai because of their stand on Unity Government (UG). Nik Aziz has openly opposes any talks of UG with BN-led UMNO. If PAS could not resolve their internal differences, Manek Urai wil be a free for all state sonstituency.
   
8. Personally, it is better to leave manek Urai to decide is own fate. Being a modern outpost, Manek Urai will be better off without the normal hassling for their votes. In fact, those voters who earn an average RM 850 monhly will be pissed off if they come to know that the vote canvassers stand to collect more than RM 850 for a 2 weeks all-paid vacation....courtesy of UMNO. This scribe as no records that PAS do the same for their vote canvassers...
   
9. MCA, MIC, DAP will not have big impact in this by-election. It will be a straight mano to mano type of thing. A straight fight with well defined agenda. UMNO for progress and PAS for spiritual reasons. Why do I say so? Because the non-Muslim votes is only 0.6 % of the registered 12,292 and that comes up to 74 votes.
   
10. Manek Urai voters has fairly make up their minds. The only factor that can change their pre-determined votes is who will represent UMNO and who will carry PAS aspirations...
11. It is too far off to make a call now...maybe later...
    

Till then...G'nite M'sia...wherever u are...