D N41 T +1: BN "wins" Manek Urai, Kelantan is still "Serambi Mekah"

Despite all the monies and goodies thrown in by BN, the people of Manek Urai still choose the Ulama leadership of Nik Aziz over development promises. Try as they might, BN forgets 1 thing....that Kelantan, apart from being known as "negeri Che Siti Wan Kembang" is also known as "serambi Mekah".

Actually, the less said the better. If you guys want to read Manek Urai's analysis, there are many forums discussing about that, so you can surf the net to fill your curiosity. However, today I am in an "itchy" mood. So, roll the ball....

At around or about 9:10 pm, 14th July 2009, the RO of Manek Urai declares Abe Uji as the winner for Kelantan N41 by-election. Abe Uji managed to secure 5,348 votes whilst Tuan Aziz collected 5,283 votes. Voter turnout is 87 % or 10,631.

Some of you may be asking, since the RO declare Abe Uji the winner, then why did I mention in my posting BN "wins" Manek Urai? Well...Nik Aziz used to say that you must be gracious in victory and I am doing just that. You see, one of Malaysia's self-declared foremost analyst openly claimed just before the election date that BN will win Manek Urai with Pemuda (UMNO under his beloved KJ) delivering Manek Urai to BN. So, once in a while, let the analyst has his BN "win" ....:) mentality...It will keep him going till the next trading.

For the purpose of this posting "win" means "to gain in or as if in battle or contest", "to be the victor in". This is taken verbatim from Meriam Webster online dictionary...

OK, let's be more serious, shall we?. Why did I mention BN "wins" Manek Urai? Well....

1. BN manage to mobilise voters out with 87 % turnouts (10,631), much better than the 2008 GE turnout of 84 %. Translated into votes, there is an increase of 278 votes. Normally, the turnout for by-election is smaller than GE turn out. My target is around 80 % turnout as the by-election is on a working day. Based on that target and my take that PAS collects 56 % of vote, it works out to 12,292 x 80 % x 56 % and PAS should be coming back with 5,506 votes. Abe Uji is short by 158 from my estimate;

2. BN manage to "plant" the Deputy Prime Minister of Malaysia in Manek Urai for the major part of the campaign period. This is done despite pressing matters that he should be attending to in Putrajaya such as the abolishment of PPSMI, 100 day celebration of Najib as PM etc;

3. BN's youth head aka UMNO youth chief aka SIL of former PM work tirelessly in Manek Urai since his deputy has been elevated as a deputy minister. His hands on operation is sending shivers down the UMNO youth spine as it calls for other youth leaders to emulate him. Do I need to mention the entourage that follows him? Or the "money bagmen"that sponsors his activities in Manek Urai?;

4. BN manage to show Manek Urai that there is no such thing as difficulty. DPM and other dignitaries travel by helicopters to Manek Urai. Now, we know that promises of building a RM 10 M bridge linking Manek Urai Lama and Manek Urai Lama is hogwatch. Why? BN leaders travel by helicopters so they do not feel the difficulties of the people;

5. BN prove that you can "pay" travel expenses to out of town voters in the open and nobody can question you on that. This payment is done after voting and the out-of towners can claim the expenses at a house nearby the polling station;

6. BN as the government of that day can set up 1 stop centre in remote areas and solve rakyats' problems, if they want to. The facilities are there but the commitment? Well..it depends whether there is a by-election there or not;

7. BN as the government can mobilise 3000 police personnel to "serve" 12,000 voters. That is a ratio of 1 police to 4 voters and that should be the best ratio in the world!;

8. BN supporters can say and do what they like during polling day but if there is any fracas, the opposition will be the first to be blamed and highlighted in the mainstream news;

9. BN will only choose "qualified" person as their candidates. That means, those with low qualification or self-made businessman can kiss goodbye to their dreams of being selected as candidate. This is a big win for BN because you do not need to be morally clean to be the candidate. All you need to do is to provide your qualification papers, and voila..you are the candidate;

10. BN can put up "offensive" banners especially on the supposedly logging in Kelantan where the current state government are harvesting personal profits and gains whilst the "historic" handshake between Nik Aziz and Lee Kuan Yew to potray that Nik Aziz as ?. On hindsight, who open up Bandar Iskandar in Johor - is it BN or PAS? This last minute pscho-war did deliver a few votes for BN;

11. BN effectively belittle fish wholeseller. This is not an easy task to do. BN did what no other parties have done before...by belittling the profession of your opponent, you are actually promoting your candidate. This is an amazing feat by BN;

There you have it. I have listed just 11 of the reasons why BN "wins" in Manek Urai. I did not say BN wins the by-election but "win" in the sense of having advantage over PAS in the recently concluded Manek Urai by-election.

Despite all the monies and goodies thrown in by BN, the people of Manek Urai still choose the Ulama leadership of Nik Aziz over development promises. Try as they might, BN forgets 1 thing....that Kelantan, apart from being known as "negeri Che Siti Wan Kembang" is also known as "serambi Mekah". And that is why, I say BN "wins" Manek Urai, Kelantan is still "Serambi Mekah"...

By the way, just a tiny weenie titbits - do you know that PAS never won by-elections in Kelantan since 1997? And that is 12 long years ago which is equivalent to 3 general election years. That information is given by Pak Bakaq, our "trishaw man". That means, contrary to all the media-hype, PAS did win a major psycho war yesterday. With that psycho barrier broken, what can stops PAS from reaching higher, further and faster?

Of course there are other contributing factors to PAS's "major" win in Manek Urai but a master ronin won't tell all his secrets. will he? :)

Till then...G'nite M'sia...wherever u are... Read More

D N41 T-1 : Antara kurma dan epal...pilihan anda (English translation provided)

UPDATE : Polling day special from Manek Urai click here
TERKINI : Liputan khas hari pembuangan undi Manek Urai, tekan disini

Calun BN-UMNO Tuan Aziz Tuan Mat adalah lulusan UiTM manakala Abe Uji pula kelulusan "Inogo University". Walaupun demikian, pengalaman dikukuhi dengan daya usaha telah melonjakkan Abe Uji menjadi seorang pemborong ikan yang berjaya di Manek Urai.

Drama "menuju puncak Manek Urai" sudah sampai ke penghujungnya. Bagaimana kalau diimbas kembali isu-isu yang dibangkitkan di Manek Urai sebagai senarai akhir sebelum keputusan di buat?

Sesuai dengan kedudukannya sebagai pilihanraya dewan undangan negeri, Manek Urai tidak dibanjiri dengan isu-isu nasional. Sebaliknya, kedua-dua belah parti bertanding menggunakan pendekatan isu tempatan.

Antara yang pertama dibawa ialah isu kelayakan calun. Secara sedar atau tidak BN telah membbawa isu ini ketengah apabila Muhyiddin dan Ahmad Maslan, ketua perhubungan UMNO, dikatakan memperkecil-kecilkan kelulusan dan profession calun PAS, Abe Uji.

Calun BN-UMNO Tuan Aziz Tuan Mat adalah lulusan UiTM manakala Abe Uji pula kelulusan "Inogo University". Walaupun demikian, pengalaman dikukuhi dengan daya usaha telah melonjakkan Abe Uji menjadi seorang pemborong ikan yang berjaya di Manek Urai.

Tindakan BN telah mempengaruhi persatuan peraih dan pemborong ikan Kelantan menyatakan sokongan terbuka mereka terhadap abe Uji. Cubaan Muhyiddin untuk menenagkan keadaan tidak banyak membantu BN.

Isu besar yang diketengahkan PAS dalam pilihanraya kecil Manek Urai ialah isu royalti minyak. PAS mendedahkan bahwa Kelantan seharusnya menikmati royalti minyak kerana terdapat pelantar minyak di luar persisiran pantai yang telah mengeluarkan hasil (gas) sejak tahun 2001 dan mengikut perkiraan mereka, kerajaan pusat (Petronas) perlu membayar sekurang-kurangnya RM 1B kepada kerajaan negeri.

Sebagai timbalan perdana menteri, Muhyiddin Yassin telah mengarahkan Petronas untuk memberi jawapan kepada dakwaan PAS itu dalam masa 48 jam mulai 9hb Julai 2009. Malangnya, sehingga 12hb Julai (72 jam), Petronas masih tidak mampu untuk menjawab dakwaan PAS. Ini memperkuatkan lagi dakwaan PAS kerana sikap diam Petronas boleh ditafsirkan sebagai mengakui dan mengiyakan dakwaan PAS.

BN boleh menggunakan khidmat Tg Razaleigh Hamzah. ahli parlimen BN Gua Musang yang juga Presiden Petronas dalam tahun 19075 untuk memberi jawapan kerana Kelantan mengatakan ada perjanjian yang telah ditandatangani Petronas dan Kelantan dalam tahun 1975. Tindakan BN tidak menggunakan Tg Razaleigh juga merupakan satu lagi tindakan kurang bijak BN untuk menangani dakwaan PAS.

Selain dari dua isu utama ini, BN juga telah cuba mengeksploitasikan ketidakhadiran Nasharuddin Md Isa semasa hari penamaan calun dan hari-hari awal berkempen sebagai bukti keretakan saf kepimpinan PAS pusat. BN, terutamanya KJ yang juga Ketua Pemuda UMNO telah mengwar-warkan isu ini diseluruh pelusuk Manek Urai.

Malang bagi BN apabila PAS telah membawa Nasharuddin ke Manek Urai pada 11hb Julai 2009 untuk menangkis tohmahan BN. Disitu, Nasharuddin telah menjelaskan bahwa beliau baru saja menjalani pembedahan kecil minggu lalu.

Terkejut dengan keupayaan PAS membawa Nasharuddin ke Manek Urai, BN mula menukar geraktari dan mula mengatakan bahwa PAS dalam keadaan terdesak sehingga terpaksa membawa Nasharuddin.

Bagi saya, sebenarnya BN berada dalam keadaan terdesak sehingga sanggup memainkan isu ini sebagai bahan kempen di Manek Urai.

Terdesak, Muhyiddin mula memainkan isu pembangunan di Manek Urai. Beliau telah menjanjikan pembangunan dan sebuah jambatan baru bernilai RM 10J sekiranya BN menang di Manek Urai. Umpan ini adalah umpan biasa yang digunakan BN untuk mengula-gulakan pengundi. Masih terlalu awal untuk melihat keberkesanan umpan ini.

Saperti biasa, BN telah mengerakkan seluruh jentera pilihanraya dan agensi Kerajaan untuk berkhemah di Manek Urai sepanjang tempoh kempen. Walaupun demikian, beberapa nama yang menjadi penghias muka BN di kempen-kempen yang lalu tidak kelihatan. Nama-nama saperti Ezam Mohd Nor dan Saiful tidak kedengaran di Manek Urai. Mungkin ini disebabkan calun PR ialah Abe Uji dari PAS dan bukannya dari PKR.

Terdengar juga berita mengenai Ibrahim Ali, ahli parlimen bebas, yang telah turun padang untuk membantu BN tapi suaranya mula tidak kedengaran lagi di akhir-akhir ini. Mungkin beliau baru sedar bahwa kemenangan beliau adalah diatas tiket PAS dan bukannya BN. Apatah lagi beliau telah dipecat dari UMNO.

Selain dari itu, pemilihan Tuan Aziz juga tidak disenangi oleh Ketua Bahgian UMNO yang mengharapkan UMNO memilih beliau sebagai calun. Ini telah menyebabkab kerengganan antara pihak-pihak tertentu dimana "survival politic" menjadi lebih utama dari kemenangan BN.

BN memerlukan kemenangan di Manek Urai untuk menaikkan saham-saham Muhyiddin Yassin, KJ dan Mustapha Mohamed. Muhyiddin ingin memperbaiki rekod 1 - 2 yang sedang disandang beliau sementara KJ ingin membuktikan kepada Najib betapa pentingnya beliau dalam saf kepimpinan pemuda. Mustapha Mohamed perlu menang di Manek Urai sebagai pengesahan kepimpinan beliau dalam UMNO Kelantan adalah bertepatan dan bersesuaian.

BN perlu memenangi Manek Urai sebagai hadiah hari jadi "100 hari" Najib sebagai Perdana Menteri. Untuk itu, BN sanggup "bergolok bergadai" untuk Manek Urai.

PAS mula melihat Manek Urai sebagai keseinambungan kepimpinan. Pemilihan Abe Uji sebagai calun ialah keseinambungan khidmat dan jasa "Paksu Wel" yang telah berkhidmat untuk Manek Urai selama 5 penggal. Abe Uji dilihat sebagai calun paling sesuai kerana beliau senang didampingi rakyat dari pelbagai golongan dan telah terbukti berkesan dalam menjalankan tugas-tugas kemasyarakatan.

Pendek kata, bagi PAS, Abe Uji kini bersedia untuk dimartabatkan sebagai Yang Berkhidmat (YB). Setakat ini, PAS mempunyai penuh harapan untuk mengekalkan Manek Urai.

Apapun, Manek Urai akan kembali tenang selepas 14hb Julai 2009. Apakah Tuan Aziz akan mencurahkan bakti kepada Manek Urai sekiranya beliau kalah di sana? Yang pasti, Muhyiddin Yassin akan kembali ke KL, KJ akan betandang ke stadium Bukit Jalil pada 18hb Julai 2009 untuk menyokong MU (Manchester United) sementara Mustapha Mohamed akan terus diam dengan kes royalti minyak.

Antara kurma (PAS) dan epal (BN), pilihan ada didepan mata. Kurma sebagai ingatan kepada kehendak agama dan kepimpinan ulama sementara epal sebagai taruhan pembangunan. Manek Urai menjadi medan kali ini. Secara ikhlas, saya berharap Manek Urai kekal dibawah PAS kerana BN gagal untuk menangani isu tempatan terutamanya mengenai royalti minyak.

Apa yang utama pada saya ialah kerajaan persekutuan perlu memberi penjelasan mengenai hak Kelantan untuk menuntut royalti minyak. Kenapa Kelantan di anaktirikan dan royalti minyak tidak diagihkan kerana berada di bawah kepimpinan PAS? Adakah ini keadilan yang dilaung-laungkan BN? Adakah ini yang di katakan "rakyat di utamakan", apabila BN lebih mengutamakan kemenangan dari nasib rakyat Kelantan.

Sahabat siber, Ronin WJK begitu yakin bahwa Manek Urai akan menjadi hak BN esok sehinggakan sanggup meletak kredibiliti beliau sebagai ganti. Saya menghormati pandangan beliau tetapi dalam masa yang sama saya menyeru pengundi Manek Urai menggunakan kebijaksanaan dan kewarasan ketika mengundi.

Sememangnya BN sedang bekerja kuat untuk memecah kebuntuan mereka dan mereka mengharapkan Manek Urai sebagai tempat untuk mereka kembali berpijak dengan selesa. Sememangnya juga, PAS perlu mengakui bahwa lawan mereka bersungguh-sungguh inginkan kemenangan dan justeru itu PAS perlu melipatgandakan usaha mereka untuk mempertahankan Manek Urai.

Jangan sekali-kali terjebak dengan helah BN untuk membawa kemajuan dan jambatan ke Manek Urai. Ayuh..mari sama-sama kita buktikan bahwa maruah Manek Urai tidak dapat dibeli dengan jambatan dan janji-janji kemajuan serta mari kita buktikan bahwa andaian WJK salah.

Fikir-fikirlah...

Translation

The drama "To the top - Manek Urai" will come to its peak soon. How about going through the issues raised in Manek Urai as the final check list before making decision?

Fitting to its state legislative, Manek Urai is devoid of national issues. In contrast, both parties choose to adopt local issues.

Amongst the first to be highlighted is the candidate qualification. Either done intentionally or unintentionally, BN highlighted this issue when Muhyiddin and Ahmad Maslan, UMNO Information chief, is said to bel;ittle the qualification and profession of PAS candidate, Abe Uji.

BN-UMNO candidate, Tuan Aziz Tuan Mat is a UiTM graduate whilst Abe Uji is "Inogo University" qualified. However, through his experience strengthened with his hardwork, Abe Uji becomes a successful fish wholeseller in Manek Urai.

BN's actions influenced Kelantan association of fish whole seller to come out in support of Abe Uji. Muhyiddin's tried to downplay the issue but of litle effect to BN.

The big issue highlighted by PAS in Manek Urai by-election is oil royalty money. PAS's exposure that Kelantan should be given the oil royalty money because of oil rigs in Kelantan offshore has produced gas since 2001 and based on their calculation, the federal government (Petronas) should be paying at least RM 1B to the state government.

As the deputy prime minister, Muhyiddin Yassin has directed Petronas to provide the answers to PAS's claim within 48 hours. Sad to say that up to 12th july 2009 (72 hours later), Petronas is unable to reply to PAS's claim. This enforced PAS's claim due to Petroonas silence which can be read as admitting and supporting PAS's claim.

BN can use the service of Tg Razaleigh Hamzah, Member of Parliament for Gua Musang who was also Petronas President in 1075 to give the response on Kelantan's claim that there is an agreement signed between Kelantan and Petronas in 1975. He was Petronas president in 1975. BN's action of not using Tg Razaleigh is another unwise move made by BN to handle PAS's claim.

Apart from these 2 main issues,BN trie to exploit Nasharuddin Md Isa's absence during the nomination day and the early part of the campaign period as proof of PAS leadership split. BN, especiallly KJ who is the UMNO youth head has announced this to all parts of Manek Urai.

Unfortunately for BN, PAS brought in Nasharuddin to Manek Urai on 11th July 2009 to counter BN's claims. here, Nasharuddin clarify that he has just undergone a small operation the past week.

Shocked by PAS's ability to bring in Nasharuddin to manek Urai, BN change their strategy and start claiming that PAS is in dire straits and has to bring in Nasharuddin.

To me, in actual condition, BN is in dire straits that they are willing to use this issue as part of their campaign ,material in Manek Urai.

Cornered, Muhyiddin has to start relying on development issue in Manek Urai. He has promised development and a new RM 10M bridge in Manek Urai, if BN wins. This bait is a normally used by BN as a sweetener. It is too early to see the effects of the sweetener.

As usual, BN has mobilised all its election machinery and government agencies to camp out in Manek Urai during the campaign duration. However, a few of the front page names used in previous BN campaigns are missing. Names like Ezam Mohd Nor and Saiful is unheard in manek Urai. Maybe this is due to the candidate is not from PKR.

There are also scattered news about Ibrahim Ali, the independent member of Parliament, turning up to help campaigning for BN but his presence has not been detected now. Maybe he has just woke up and realised that he wins on PAS ticket and not on BN's flag. More so he has been dismissed from UMNO.

Apart from that, Tuan Aziz's nomination has has not been well received by the UMNO division head who was hoping to be selected as UMNo's candidate. This has split up certain quarters where "political survival" is more important than BN's win.

BN needs a win in Manek Urai to raise the names of Muhyiddin Yassin, KJ and Mustapha Mohamed. Muhyiddin wants to better his current 1 - 2 record whilst KJ wanted to proof to Najib how important he is in the youth leadership lineup. Mustapha Mohamed needs manek Urai as an endorsement to his leadership in UMNO Kelantan and taht his appointment is timely and perfect.

BN needs to win Manek Urai as a "100 day" present to Najib as the prime minister. For that, BN is willing to go all out to win manek Urai.

PAS sees Manek Urai as the continuity of their leadership. Choosing Abe Uji is a continuance to the services of Pak su Wel wo has been servicing manek Urai for the past 5 terms. Abe Uji is seen as the most suitable candidate as he is easy going and has proven to be effective in social works.

In short, for PAS, Abe Uji is ready to be declared as the "Ready to serve (YB)". For now, PAS has full confidence in retaining Manek Urai.

Whatever, Manek Urai will regain its peace after 14th July 2009. Will Tuan Aziz be providing his service there if he lost? The thing for sure is Muhyiddin will be returning to KL, KJ will be visiting Bukit Jalil stadium on 18th July 2009 whilst Mustapha Mohamed will keep his silence in regards to the oil royalty claim.

Between date (PAS) and apple (BN), the choice is there. Date as a reminder to the religous needs and the ulama leadership whilst apple is the development bet. Manek Urai is the place now. Honestly, I hope that Manek Urai remains under PAS because BN has failed in local issues especially those regarding the oil royalty.

The main thing for me is for the federal government to give explanation on Kelantan's rights to claim oil royalty money. Why is Kelantan being ill treated and the oil royalty not given under PAS's government? Is this justice as frequently claimed by BN? Is this "people first", when BN's priority is to win than to care about Kelantanese welfare.

A cyber friend. Ronin WJK is so confident taht manek Urai will be won by BN tomorrow taht he is willing to put his credibility on the line. I respect his views but at the same time urge manek Urai voters to use their intelligence and sanity when voting.

It is without doubt that BN is working very hard to break their fall and they are hoping Manek Urai will be the place where they can rise again and step on safer grounds. It is also without doubt that PAS needs to admit that their opponent is hungry for a win and as such PAS needs to double their efforts to defend Manek Urai.

Don't ever fall to BN's tricks of development and bridge to Manek Urai. Let us all prove that Manek Urai cannot be bought by a bridge and promises of development whilst proving WJK is wrong in his assumption.

Think about it...

Till then...G'nite M'sia...wherever u are... Read More

D N41 T -2 : M & M's services and reminders...(terjemahan Bahasa Malaysia disediakan)

"Kalau beri pitih, ambi; kalau beri gula, kacau; kalau beri kain, pakai; tapi hak mengundi nanti, pangkah bulan." (If given money, take it; if given sugar, stir it; if given clothing, wear it. However, come election day, vote for the moon),” said Nik Aziz (Kelantan MB)

Weekend is the time to catch up with mainstream news. Nested within the news is Manek Urai. This time it's M & M's time. No, it's not the sugar coated chocolate but Muhyiddin & Murugiah...:)

11th July 2009 carry the news of T Murugiah, deputy minister in PM's department, setting up one stop centre booth in Manek Urai. What's interesting is T Murugiah is still in the centre of PPP's "who's the actual President" debate. Remember that M Kayveas has expelled T Murugiah from the party. So, the logocal question is - why is Murugiah still in Najib's government? A minor slap in the face for Kayveas, perhaps?

From the news, I will say that Murugiah's booth is not popular in Manek Urai. Only a handful turn up with their problems. Why? Late announcement? Poor PR? Bad political gimmick? I leave it to the readers to fill in the blanks...

12th July 2009, TV3 carried news about Muhyiddin claiming that BN has poured money in Kuala Krai by building schools and teachers quarters. As I have said many times before, the federal government is obliged to provide the needed basic necessities and that includes education. Education comes hand in hand with schools and schools need quarters to house their staffs. In short, Muhyiddin cannot claim credit of building schools to BN. It is their job and responsibility to provide the necessity so why harped on something that they need to provide? If PR is the government of the day, PR needs to provide these too. Based on that, BN's claims of bringing development to Manek Urai is a non-issue.

Malaysiakini postdated 12th July 2009 reported a "sweetener" offered by Muhyiddin Yassin. Muhyiddin's offering a new RM 10 M 300 m bridge connecting Manek Urai baru and Manek Urai lama, provided the voters give BN their much needed win come 14th July 2009. It is now clear that BN never learns - Is that RM 10 M BN's money or our money? Win or lose, BN should provide the bridge, using the rakyat's money. There is a hint of threat here. Either vote for BN or pay the price. Is this practise acceptable? What a pity! This is a desperate move from BN.

Just food for thought. If BN wins, who do you think will get the contract? My answer - most probably one of UMNO's cronies will get the project. Is this what we want? To enrich BN cronies? Is this how much Muhyiddin is rating 12,292 voters of Manek Urai? How much is the average cost per voter? RM 813! That's the cost of RM 10 M bridge equally shared by 12,292 voters...Is that the price of a vote in Manek Urai??? Do Muhyiddin thinks Manek Urai will fall for the bait? He might think so, but I am confident manek Urai will reject his advances.

TV3 on Buletin 1:30 on 12th July 2009 also play a small role in doing its part to belittle PAS. By subtly showing the sacrifice made by their on-site reporters, TV3 "accidentally" indicated that the water supply for Manek Urai is wanting. The treated water supplied by the state government has problems in pressure and also frequent disruption. As an alternative, the villagers has to resort to using gravitational pull to gravitate collected untreated water from their hilltop reservoir to their homes. TV3 has done their job in subtly potraying that the state government has failed in providing the basic necessities to Manek Urai.

These issues does not blow away Kelantan oil royalty which Muhyiddin has directed Petronas to respond within 48 hours. That 48 hours has passed on 11th July 2009. No response from Petronas. Either Petronas accept that Kelantan is entitled to oil royalty money or Petronas did not heed to Muhyiddin's direction.

Issues raised by Muhyiddin and TV3 coupled with Murugiah's booth could not overwhelmed Kelantan oil royalty issue. PAS also deliver another TKO punch to BN when they bring out Nasharuddin to dispel BN's claims that Nasharuddin has been sidelined in PAS. In short, BN is still lagging in Manek Urai.

"Demo bawoklah gapo-gapo pun, Manek Urai tok larie mano doh...kekal ngan bule..."

meaning : You can come with whatever you wants, Manek Urai will not be swayed...they will stay with the "moon"...

The sweetener - a RM 10 M new double lane bridge if BN wins - Muhyiddin Yassin

Translation (terjemahan Bahasa Malaysia)

Hujung minggu merupakan masa untuk mengikuti berita dari akhbar dan TV. Terselit didalam ialah berita mengenai Manek Urai.

Pada 11hb Julai 2009, berita meliput tentang T Murugiah, timbalan menteri diJabatan Perdana Menteri, membuka satu pusat serenti di Manek Urai.. T Murugiah kini sedang berada ditengah-tengah kemelut "siapa Presiden PPP yang sebenar". Ingat bahwa M Kayveas telah memecat T Murugiah dari parti. Secara logiknya persoalannya sekarang - mengapakah Murigiah masih berada didalam kabinet Najib? Mungkinkah ini satu tamparan yang halus dimuka Kayveas?

Dari berita, bolehdikatakan bahwa pondok Murugiah tidak begitu popular di Manek Urai. Hanya segelintir kecil saja yang datang dengan masaalah mereka. Kenapa? Pengumuman lewat? Masaalah hubungan awam? Gimik politik yang teruk? Biarlah pembaca mengisi ruang kosong...

Pada 12hb Julai 2009, TV3 membawa berita mengenai tuntutan Muhyiddin yang mengatakan nahwa BN telah mencurahkan duit di Kuala Krai dengan membina sekolah dan penempatan guru. Sebaigamana yang telah dikatakan beberapa kali dulu, kerajaan persekutuan diperlukan untuk menyediakan keperluan asas dan itu termasuk pendidikan. Pendidikan datang beriringan dengan sekolah dan sekolah memerlukan tempat penginapan bagi pekerja-pekerja. Secara ringkasnya, Muhyiddin tidak boleh mengatakan BN menyediakan sekolah-sekolah. Itu adalah tugas dan tanggungjawab mereka untukmenyediakan keperluan tersebut jadi kenapa memperbesar-besarkan sesuatu yang semamngnya tugas mereka? Seandainya PR menjadi kerajaan pun, mereka juga perlu menyediakan asas ini. Berdasarkan itu, akuan BN bahwa mereka membawa kemajuan ke Manek Urai bukalah satu isu.

Lapuran Malaysiakini keluaran 12hb Julai 2009 melapurkan gula-gula yang ditawarkan oleh Muhyiddin Yassin. Muhyiddin menawarkan sebuah jambatan sepanjang 300 m yng akan menghubungkan Manek Urai Lama dan Manek Urai baru bernilai RM 10J, dengan syarat pengundi memberi kemenagan yang amat-amat diperlukan BN pada 14hb Julai 2009 nanti. Ia menjadi terang sekarang bahwa BN tidak pernah belajar - Apakah RM 10J itu wang persendrian BN atau wang rakyat? Menang atau kalah, BN harus menyediakan jambatan tersebut dengan menggunakan wang rakyat. Ada unsur ancaman disini. Undi BN atau menderita. Adakah ini dapat diterima? Kesian! Ini merupakan langkah desperado BN.

Dalam Buletin 1:30 pm pda 12hb Julai 2009, TV3 juga memainkan peranan kecil untuk memperkecilkan PAS. Dengan cara halus, TV3 menunjukkan pengorbanan wartawan mereka di Manek Urai. TV3 dengan cara "tidak sengaja" mengambarkan perihal masaalah air. Air yang telah diwat yang disediakan oleh kerajaan negeri mempunyai masaalah tekanan rendah dan pembekalan selalu terganggu. Sebagai pilihan, orang kampung menggunakan rangkaian paip yang bersandarkan kepada tarikan graviti untuk membawa air yang ditakung diatas bukit ke rumah mereka. TV3 telah menjalan tugas mereka fengan mengambarkan kerajaan negeri gagal untuk memberi keperluan asas di Manek Urai.

Isu-isu ini tidak melenyapkan isu wang royalti minyak yang mana Muhyiddin telah mengarahkan Petronas untuk memberi jawapan dalam masa 48 jam. Tempoh itu telah berlalu pada 11hb Julai 2009. Tiada respons dari Petronas. Samada Petronas mengakui bahwa Kelantan berhak untukwang royalti minyak atau Petronas tidak mendengar arahan Muhyiddin.

Isu-isu yang ditimbulkan oleh Muhyiddin dan TV3 diganding pula dengan pondok Murugiah tidak dapat melenyapkan isu wang royalti minyak Kelantan. PAS juga telah memberi pukulan TKO kepada BN apabila mereka membawa Nasharuddin untuk menolak tuntutan BN bahwa Nasharuddin telah dipinggirkan di dalam PAS. Ringkasnya, BN masih ketinggalan di Manek Urai.

"Demo bawoklah gapo-gapo pun, Manek Urai tok larie mano doh...kekal ngan bule..."

Till then...G'nite M'sia...wherever u are... Read More

D N41 T -3: Fish out of water...for Abe Uji (Terjemahan disediakan)

BN cukup lah, pade doh demo kaloh semanjeng di Kelate...pah ni, boh lah mari ngecek orang Kelate lagi...

There's a saying "Do not disturb hornets' nest". But that is what BN did in Manek Urai. Maybe, this is what you get for belittling your opponent. Did I hear BN says when? Well check out my posting at T -6 when Ahmad Maslan, UMNO Information Chief was singled out to utter words of that effect.

Kelantan fishmongers and wholesellers association came back strongly to openly support the candidacy of PAS's Abe Uji in Kg Laloh wet market on 10th July 2009. 200 strong, they not only pledge their support but sponsor 40 containers of fish to PAS workers. That's a lot of protein and encouragement for PAS vote canvassers.

Since we are still in "fish" issue, let this be a lesson to BN - never undervalue your opponent. I am proud to say that a friend of mine, an Engineer by qualification, is a fishwholeseller by profession. Or rather let me put it this way, he is in "fishing" business bigtime. He owns a few deep sea fishing vessels which landed their catch in Endau (Johor), Tabal (Thailand) and Chendering (Terengganu). Moral of the story? There are well qualified people in the "fishmonger and wholeseller" business so BN better learn not to belittle their opponents, either now or in the future.

On another front, since BN is running short of ideas in Manek Urai, BN starts to questions the whereabouts of Nasaruddin Md Isa, PAS deputy President, who has been missing from Manek Urai scene. Whether Nasharuddin is in Manek Urai or not is not BN's concern but BN use this as an issue to blow up the purpotedly rift between Nasharuddin and Nik Aziz.

Finally, Nasharuddin surfaced in Manek Urai together with Nik Aziz on 11th July 2009 dispelling BN's accussation of rift as well as shutting out the rumours mills. The truth is finally out. Nasharuddin was floored by a minor surgery for intestinal ailment. To me, BN as the ruling party knows exactly where Nasharuddin was but prefer to hype his absence for political mileage and to create uneasiness amongst PR supporters.

BN should learn to respect the opponents' health and wellbeing. They can start by joining hands with PAS to pray for Galas assemblyman's health and speedy recovery. Can they do that? Can they join hands in prayers together with PAS? Will they do that?

PAS is still leading the race. That means BN is lagging and lagging more by the day. Remember the time when KJ push "pade doh" as BN's slogan to takeover Kelantan in GE 12? This time around, let me put it simply - *BN cukup lah, pade doh demo kaloh semanjeng di Kelate...pah ni, boh lah mari ngecek orang Kelate lagi...

For non-Kelantanese - *BN, that's enough. You desrved to lose always in Kelantan...after this, please do not come here to hoodwink Kelantanese again...

Translation (terjemahan Bahasa Malaysia)

Kata orang tua "Sarang tebuan jangan dijolok". Tapi itulah yang dilakukan BN di Manek Urai. Mungkin inilah apa yang kita dapat bila kita memperkecilkan saingan kita. Apa? Adakah saya terdengar BN mengatakan bila? Cuba anda baca posting saya pada hari T-6 apabila Ahmad Maslan, ketua perhubungan UMNO, didapati mengeluarkan kata-kata yang bermaksud demikian.

Persatuan Peraih dan pemborong ikan Kelantan telah mengambil keputusan untuk memberi sokongan terbuka kepada calun PAS Abe Uji di pasar basah Laloh pada 10hb Julai 2009. Seramai 200 ahli persatuan bukan saja menyatkan sokongan mereka tetapi akan turut menyumbang 40 tong ikan kepada pekerja dan penyokong PAS. Banyak khasiat protin dan juga semangat kepada perayu undi PAS.

Sementara kita masih dalam isu "ikan", biarlah ini menjadi pengajaran kepada BN - jangan merendah-rendahkan pihak lawan. Saya bangga untuk menyatakan bahwa seorang teman saya, berkelulusan kejuruteraan, tetapi memilih kerjaya sebagai pemborong ikan. Atau biarlah saya katakan, dia berada dalam perniagaan "ikan" secara besar-besaran. Beliau mempunyai beberapa kapal laut dalam yang memunggah hasil tangkapan mereka di Endau (Johor), Tabal (Thailand) dan Chendering (Terengganu). Pengajaran yang kita dapat? Ada diantara mereka yang didalam usahawan "peraih dan pemborong ikan" yang mempunyai kelulusan tinggi jadi BN harus belajar supaya tidak memperkecilkan pihak lawan, samada pada masa kini ataupun masa depan.

Menyentuh perkara lain, oleh kerana BN sudah buntu di Manek Urai, BN mula mempersoalkan dimanakan Nasharuddin Md Isa, Timbalan Presiden PAS, yang tidak kelihatan di Manek Urai. Samada Nasharuddin berada di Manek Urai atau tidak bukanlah soal bagi BN tetapi BN menggunakan ini sebagai isu dan memperbesarkan retakan yang dikatakan berlaku diantara Nasharrudin dan Nik Aziz.

Akhir sekali, Nasharuddin telah "timbul" di Manek Urai bersama Nik Aziz pada 11hb Julai 2009 dan melenyapkan tuduhan BN mengenai keretakan tersebut serta menutup khabar angin. Sebenarnya, Nasharuddin melalui satu pembedahan kecil atas penyakit usus. Bagi saya, BN sebagai parti pemerintah tahu dimana Nasharuddin berada tetapi memilih untuk meng war-warkan ketiadaan beliau (di Manek Urai) untuk tujuan politik serta untuk menimbulkan rasa gelisah sesama penyokong PR.

BN harus belajar untuk menghormati kesihatan dan kesejahteraan pihak lawan. Mereka boleh mulakan dengan bergabung tangan bersama PAS untuk mendoakan untuk kesihatan ahli dewan undangan negeri Galas serta doa semuga beliau cepat sembuh dari penyakit beliau. Apakan BN akan melakukannya? Bolehkah mereka bergabung mendoakan untuk kesihatan ADUN Galas bersama PAS? Bolehkah mereka berbuat demikian?

PAS masih mendahului. Itu bermakna BN sedang berada dibelakang dan kebelakang lagi dari hari ke hari. Ingat semasa KJ memperkenalkan "pade doh" sebagai slogan BN untuk mengambilalih Kelantan dalam PRU 12? Kali ini, biarlah saya mengatakan - BN cukup lah, pade doh demo kaloh semanjeng di Kelate...pah ni, boh lah mari ngecek orang Kelate lagi...

Till then...G'nite M'sia...wherever u are... Read More

D N41 T -4 : Muhyiddin's golden son, Rais's law...(terjemahan bahasa Malaysia disediakan)

"You will not just be adopted, because some adopted children are treated like stepchildren but you will be the golden child," Muhyiddin promises Manek Urai.

“This is different from the oil royalty enjoyed by the Terengganu state government as it is disbursed on the goodwill of the federal government, not derived from the rights under the laws,” Rais "I burn the bridge" Yatim - Minister of Information, Communication and Culture

1. The final bend before the final stretch for Manek Urai's precious seat. For today, let's concentrate on Muhyiddin and Rais Yatim.
2. For sure by now, Muhyiddin would have his MM2H approved. MM2H stands for "Malaysia, my second home" program but in this case it will be "Manek Urai, my second home" home stay.
3. In one of his latest ceramah, Malaysian Insider on 9th July 2009 quoted him

   "You will not just be adopted, because some adopted children are treated like stepchildren but you will be the golden child," Muhyiddin promises Manek Urai.

4. Sounds good, right? Wrong! For now, the campaign issue revolves on whether Kelantan is eligible for oil royalty or not. Muhyiddin, on his part has directed Petronas to address the issue by 11th September 2009.
5. Logically, when Muhyiddin promises Manek Urai that they will be treated as adopted golden child, Muhyiddin is also promising Kelantanese the same. So, my question - If Muhyiddin promises adopted golden child treatment, why is the government refuting Kelantan's claim that they deserve the oil royalty money? Is Muhyiddin treating Manek Urai and generally Kelantan as stepchildren?
6. Mind you that the questions posed is based on Muhyiddin's quotation that Manek Urai (Kelantan) is the adopted golden child. This is not a make-up story but properly recorded by Malaysian Insider.
7. However, here comes Rais "I burn the bridge" Yatim, Minister of Information, Communicaion and Culture. The Sun datelined 10th July 2009 reported Rais said that Kelantan's oil royalty demand was made not according to law. Rais was quoted

   “This is different from the oil royalty enjoyed by the Terengganu state government as it is disbursed on the goodwill of the federal government, not derived from the rights under the laws,” Rais "I burn the bridge" Yatim - Minister of Information, Communication and Culture

8. So, there you have it, right from the horses' mouth. Muhyiddin promises Manek Urai (Kelantan) a "adopted golden child" status but Rais said "it must follow the law".
9. To me, the federal government can accord the oil royalty money to Kelantan as Manek Urai (Kelantan) is Muhyiddin's "adopted golden child" and even if there is no rights under the law (as mention by Rais), the federal government can disbursed the oil royalty money on goodwill basis as it did to Terengganu.
10. The solution for oil royalty money is already there, right infront of our eyes. The federal government can either disburse the oil royalty money as per the 1975 agreement (whose existence will be clarified by Petronas by 11th July 2009) or on goodwill basis. Full stop. Now, the ball is back to Muhyiddin whether to disburse the oil royalty money to Manek Urai (Kelantan) or not.
    
11. By virtue that Manek Urai (Kelantan) is Muhyiddin's (and UMNO's) "adopted golden child", the oil royalty money should be disbursed to Kelantan now. Why not make it before 14th July 2009?
12. Maybe it is time for Muhyiddin to ask Rais - Are you the Minister of Information, Communication and Culture or are you the de-facto Law Minister? Rais seems to like quoting laws as if he is the de-facto law minister. Is he in the right ministry?
13. Muhyiddin would like to think that he has close the gap between BN and PAS for Manek Urai but this issue is hurting BN. Rais is not making it easier on Muhyiddin with his statement.
14. 4 more days to go before polling. Friday is rest day for some but not the vote canvassers. By the end of the day, it will be clear how far behind BN is lagging. PAS is not letting up and the Manek Urai guys are tightening their "semutar" for the final stretch...
    

For non-Kelantanese;

semutar = headwear worn by east coast man, normally from kain lepas (unstitch cloth) , somewhat similar to serban. In olden days, that's where the guys put their money, rokok daun, and kapok kecik (for security reason)

Translation (Terjemahan)

Pertandingan sudah memasuki ke selengkoh terakhir sebelum pecutan terakhir bagi kerusi Manek Urai. Untuk hari ini, tumpuan diberikan kepada Muhyiddin dan Rais Yatim.

Sudah pasti Muhyiddin seharusnya mendapat kelulusan MM2H. MM2h bermaksud "Malaysia, my second home" atau program "Malaysia, rumah keduaku" tapi untuk kes ini ia akan memberi makna "Manek Urai, rumah keduaku".

Dalam salah satu siri ceramah beliau, Malaysia Insider melapurkan Muhyiddin berkata

"You will not just be adopted, because some adopted children are treated like stepchildren but you will be the golden child," ("Anda (penduduk manek Urai) bukan saja diambil sebagai anak angkat, kerana ada anak angkat yang dilayan sebagai anak tiri tetapi anda akan menjadi anak emas") janji Muhyiddin kepada Manek Urai.

Bunyi menarik, kan? Salah! Untuk sekarang, kempen berkisar kepada isu samada Kelantan berhak mendapat duit royalti minyak atau tidak. Muhyiddin telah mengarahkan Petronas untuk menangani isu ini selewat-lewatnya pada 11 hb Julai 2009.

Secara logiknya, apabila Muhyiddin berjanji kepada penduduk Manek Urai, beliau juga berjanji kepada seluruh rakyat Kelantan perkara yang sama. Jadi, soalan saya - Sekiranya Muhyiddin berjanji untuk memberi layanan anakangkat emas, mengapakah Kerajaan masih mempertikaikan tuntutan Kelantan bahwa mereka berhak mendapat duit royalti minyak? Apakah Muhyiddin menganggap Manek Urai dan Kelantan secara keseluruhannya sebagai anak tiri?

Perlu diingat bahwa persoalan yang ditimbulkan adalah berdasarkan kenyataan Muhyiddin bahwa Manek Urai (Kelantan) adalah anakangkat emas. Ini bukanlah cerita yang direka-reka tetapi berita yang di ambil oleh Malaysian Insider.

Walaupun demikian, datang pula Rais "Si pembakar jambatan", Menteri Penerangan, Komunikasi dan Kebudayaan. Akhbar The Sun bertarikh 10hb Julai 2009 melapurkan Rais sebagai berkata bahwa tuntutan duit royalti minyak Kelantan tidak mengikuti saluran undang-undang. Beliau dipetik sebagai berkata

“This is different from the oil royalty enjoyed by the Terengganu state government as it is disbursed on the goodwill of the federal government, not derived from the rights under the laws,” ("Ini berlainan daripada royalti minyak yang dikecapi kerajaan negeri Terengganu kerana ianya (Terengganu diberikan royalti minyak) atas ehsan kerajaan persekutuan, dan bukannya melalui hak-hak yang diperuntukkan dibawah undang-undang") - Rais "si pembakar jambatan" Yatim - Menteri Penerangan, Komunikasi dan Budaya

Begitulah apa yang terkeluar dari empunya diri. Muhyiddin menjanjikan Manek Urai (Kelantan) dengan kedudukan anaangkat emas tetapi Rais pula mengatakan "ianya mestilah mengikut kehendak undang-undang".

Bagi saya, kerajaan persekutuan haruslah memberikan wang royalti minyak kepada Kelantan kerana Manek Urai (Kelantan) merupakan anakangkat emas Muhyiddin dan meskipun ianya tidak mempunyai hak dari segi undang-undang (sebagaimana disebut oleh Rais), kerajaan persekutuan boleh memberi wang royalti minyak atas sebab timbangrasa sebagaimana yang telah kerajaan persekutuan dilakukan di negeri Terengganu.

Jalan penyelesaian mengenai wang royalti minyak berada didepan mata kita. Kerajaan persekutuan boleh samaada memberi wand royalti minyak sebagaimana yang termaktub didalam perjanjian 1975 (dimana kesahihan perjanjian akan dijelaskan oleh Petronas pada 11 hb Julai 2009) atau atas sifat timbangrasa. Sekarang, keputusan kembali kepada Muhyiddin samaada memberi wang royalti minyak kepada Manek Urai (Kelantan) atau tidak.

Atas pegangan bahwa Manek Urai (Kelantan) merupakan anakangkat emas Muhyiddin (dan UMNO), wang royalti minyak seharusnya diagihkan kepada Kelantan sekarang. Apa kata wang itu diagihkan sebelum 14hb Julai 2009?

Mungkin sudah tiba masanya untuk Muhyiddin bertanya kepada Rais - Adakah anda Menteri Penerangan, Komunikasi dan Budaya atau adakah anda menteri de-fakto Undang-undang? Nampaknya Rais begitu gemar menggunakan istilah undang-undang seolah-olah beliaulah menteri de-fakto undang-undang. Adakah beliau didalam kementerian yang bersesuaian?

Muhyiddin mengharapkan bahwa beliau telah mengurangkan jurang diantara BN dan PAS di Manek Urai tetapi isu sebeginilah yang menghantui BN. Rais pula tidak banyak membantu Muhyiddin dengan cara beliau mengeluarkan kenyataan sedemikian.

Masih tinggal 4 hari lagi sebelum hari pembuangan undi. Hari Jumaat merupakan hari rehat untuk sebahgian daripada kita tetapi hari tersebut bukanlah hari rehat kepada perayu undi. Pada malam ini, sejauh mana BN ketinggalan dibelakang akan dapat diagak. PAS tidak memberi ruang dan kaum lelaki di Manek Urai sedang mengemaskan semutar untuk pecutan terakhir...

Till then...G'nite M'sia...wherever u are...

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D N41 T -5 : Muhyiddin, now pass the bucks around...

Oil n Gas in Kelantan? Click here

"In the agreement, the Federal government could take the oil and gas but is liable to pay royalty in cash twice a year in the months of March and September,"

(The oil and gas activity is located about 150km off Kelantan shores and is jointly developed with Thailand. The area is a disputed by Thailand and Malaysia.)

"Sabah's oil is found 210km off its shores and Terengganu's oil and gas activity is 220km away. How can they be entitled to royalty and Kelantan doesn't get any," Husam Musa - Kelantan EXCO member

1. On T-7, Muhyiddin makes the statement " The buck stops here". 2 days later, Muhyiddin is "passing the bucks". So what does that make Muhyiddin? A traffic police, directing the bucks around?
2. What is it about this time? Well, as early as 1980's, there were rumours circulating about oil and gas reserves off Kelantan's coast. lately, it is said that the rigs started operating in 2004. It is currently believed that the Kelantan rig known as Cakrawala is producing 6,000 barrels of natural gas daily which are then routed to Songkla for processing. Financially, that will roped in Rm 500 K daily. Blogger Malaysian waves claimed that Kelantan should, if eligible to 5 % oil royalty, earned to the tune of RM 180M yearly. Work that for 5 years and you get a whopping RM 0.9 B (Husam Musa round it up to RM 1B).
   
3. Shooting off from thereon, it may just be the reason why Nik Aziz wrote a letter to 1M PM6 requesting the royalty. And this, my friends is one of the core issue in Manek Urai by-election - Do Kelantan has the rights for oil royalty?
4. Husam Musa, in one of his ceramah during Manek Urai's by-election, claimed that there is an agreement signed in 1975 pertaining to oil and gas between Kelantan state government and the federal government (which was then represented by Tg Razaleigh Hamzah).
5. International Trade & Industry minister, Mustapha Mohamed dismiss the allegation as a non-issue. The question now is - if it is a non-issue, why is Muhyiddin Yassin aka 1M DPM instruct Petronas to answer claims over Kelantan oil royalty?
6. In Muhyiddin's statement, as reported by STAR datelined 9th July 2009, Muhyiddin :-
   • instructed Petronas to answer claims on oil royalty to Kelantan;
   • gave 48 hours for Petronas to clarify the allegations;
   • gather that the offshore areas are outside the state borders (belongs to federal administration);
   • claimed that most of Petronas profits re-channeled back to the government;
   • claimed that Petronas provide RM 20 ~ 30B per annum to development cost for the whole country, which directly or indirectly brings benefits to Kelantan;
   • directed KESEDAR (Kelantan Development Authority) to list all roads, bridges and infrastructure completed in the past few years;
   • claimed that the poverty level in southern part of Kelantan is higher, if not for KESEDAR.
     

7. Since both sides has put their claims, the first question will be - Is Tengku Razaleigh around? He should be and furthermore he should be on campaign trail for BN's candidate in Manek Urai. Why didn't Muhyiddin enlist his help to clarify matters? Tengku Razaleigh is said to be part of the signatory and he was Petronas Chairman back in 1975. He should be the best person to clarify the statement and its implications.
8. If Sabah's and Terengganu's offshore rigs are 210 and 220 km away (as compared to Kelantan offshore rigs of 150 Km) are eligible for the oil royalty, why not Kelantan? If it is in the disputed Thailand-Malaysia border, Kelantan is still the border state between Malaysia and Thailand. So it is still eligible for consideration to get the oil royalty. Do Malaysia has new state there? If yes, when did the state joined Malaysia? Mustapha Mohamed should make the statement clear. Do we have or don't we have the agreement between federal government and Kelantan regarding the oil royalty?
9. 48 hours is not that long. Can we expect Petronas to clarify the issue latest by 11th July 2009 (which happens to be on Saturday?).
10. Muhyiddin should quantify how much the Federal government alocated projects for Kelantan. And who controls the budget? If Kelantan deserved the oil royalty, will the federal government channel the royalty money to Kelantan state government? Or will there be another "wang ehsan" case applicable like those applied to Terengganu when the state was governed by PAS in 1999?
    
11. As has been said countless times before, it is the federal government's responsibility to provide all the basic necessities. Listing out past projects is not answering the issue. Has the federal government done sufficiently enough and fairly in distributing projects for Kelantan?
    
12. Whilst preparing this posting, this scribe chanced upon a statement by Mahathir Mohamed some years back that Mustapha Mohamed is one of the vocal voices who openly requested the federal government to shut the door on Kelantan and stopping projects in Kelantan. Is this true? Mustapha Mohamed should defend his position and since the accusation is done by Mahathir Mohamed, once UMNO supremo, it should be clarifies by Mustapha Mohamed. Has he betray the trust given to him by Kelantan voters?
13. The Kelantan oil issue will not go away or blown away. BN must answer to the rakyat. And BN must explain to the rakyat why the double standard if Kelantan is denied the oil royalty. Is BN prepared to do that?
14. Muhyiddin has said the bucks stop here in Manek Urai. Yes, the bucks has stopped but why is Muhyiddin passing the bucks to Petronas (to answer on Kelantan oil royalty issue) and KESEDAR (on roads, bridges, infrastructure projects)? Muhyiddin should do the answering and if need be, drag Tengku Razaleigh along to explain. But then again, can Muhyiddin request Tg Razaleigh to tag along? Could he? Will he?
15. Will Tengku Razaleigh surfaces to tell his side of the story on the account of Petronas-Kelantan agreement? UMNO has bumped off Tengku Razaleigh many times before. Will Tengku comes out and clarify the agreement and Kelantan oil issue? If Tengku is willing, will he be standing in BN's camp or PR's camp? Who knows? He may be standing side by side with Zaid Ibrahim to explain the Kelantan oil issue.
    
16. It's getting hot in Manek Urai and the oil issue has not been extinguished....yet. UMNO claims that they are the champion for the people, is UMNO really championing for the people or for its own political survival? Manek Urai is demanding answers and UMNO better come up with plausible explanation.
17. Remember, Petronas has Kelantanese employees too so Petronas better spilled out the truth or else someone will possibly spill the beans...and UMNO may be swept off its feet with the spilled beans.
18. I sense Manek Urai is slipping from BN (read UMNO). Actually, it was never theirs in the first place, although it was temporarily "loaned out" to UMNO in 2004...and that's good news for PAS. One word of advise though, PAS should never let their guards down...at least, not in the land of kapok kecik.
    

Till then...G'nite M'sia...wherever u are... Read More

D N41 : T -6, Maslan's blunder gets a reminder...

1. Muhyiddin sets the tone and now Maslan goes one step further. If Muhyiddin says "The bucks stops here", UMNO's information chief, Ahmad Maslan literally says "Who's Fauzi, the fishmonger ?". Bad mistake!!
2. UMNO has lost touch with its roots. That's the best description for Maslan's blunder. In a rural place like Manek Urai, you do not belittle your opponent. At least, not in Kelate.
3. It is said that Ahmad Maslan described PAS candidate as fishmonger (when he is a fish whole seller) and Maslan's slur has riled the fishmonger and fish whole seller association to the extent that they will protest UMNO's slur and support Abe Uji (Mohd fauzi - PAS candidate).
4. For those who are unfamiliar with the customs and traditions of rural areas, this is a quick tip - fishmonger and fish wholesellers are held in high esteem there. What more, doing business is one of the deeds encouraged by prophet Mohamad pbuh.
5. Another thing, in most wet markets of the east coast, the fish monger and wholesellers are the prime movers of the society and their close rapport with their customers will make vote canvassing easier. This is one thing Maslan and UMNO ill-affords.
6. If Muhyiddin is hitting his own men the day before, Maslan is distancing voters from UMNO. Way to go....UMNO, you are going the wrong way.
   
7. This incidental slur clearly demonstrate that UMNO has lost touch with their roots. UMNO has been too urbanised that they forget the touch and sound and feel of the rural beat. UMNO President likes to say that he smell the difficulties, taste the problems but UMNO members are not following what their President is saying. UMNO is dancing tango style whilst the people are loving dikir barat. In short, UMNO is not dancing the tune of Manek Urai...
8. If this is the case, Maslan may as well pack up his things and send all his boys and girls back to where they belong - their hometowns. It is going to be a lost cause, so why must UMNO spends unnecessary money supporting their campaign workers? Cut the losses now, Maslan...and do the right thing ie withdraw from Manek Urai battle stations.
9. But then again Maslan cannot do that because UMNO has not participated in Penanti and withdrawing from Manek Urai will be an ultimate low. So, may I suggest for all UMNO supporters and workers to go easy and spend the holidays in Manek Urai whilst it last.
10. However, PAS must never be lulled by these events. 6 more days to polling day and anything can happen. As this scribe wrote before, beware of the unexpected.
11. Knowing UMNO, watch out for "mystery flyers" tomorrow night. PR workers must be ever-ready to counter the flyers.
12. For UMNO workers - pade doh demo sesat bangat dok ikut Amno..Boh lah tu! Adik,akok mari sokong bule, pakoh bule lah deh.....dulu, lo ni dan selamonya...
    

Till then...G'nite M'sia...wherever u are... Read More

D N41 : T -7, The buck stops hereeeee...

Muhyiddin says The bucks stop here...Wonder what it means?

1. First thing first. That's not a coded posting. D N41 stands for D (Kelantan car plate number, N41 stands for Manek Urai state seat number. T -7 is the countdown (in days) to Manek Urai's by-election. Comprendo? Ok, now on to the posting :)
   
2. Muhyiddin Yassin must be dreamy when he said the buck stops here as picked up by Malaysiakini today.
3. In earlier posting, this scribe has mentioned that Muhyiddin is trying to better his records from the current standing of 1 win 2 losses since he first took up the Deputy Premier's post.
4. Muhyiddin is obviously not pleased with BN's (read UMNO's) commitment to Manek Urai thus far. Is this the General's voice of despair after comparing the turnouts between UMNO and PAS supporters at yesterday's nomination centre?
5. In part, Muhyiddin :-
   • wants Manek Urai to be the start of reversal of BN's fortunes in by-elections;
   • wants BN (read UMNO) to win Manek Urai's by-election;
   • reprimanded party workers for turning up late to join the BN entourage to the nomination centre;
   • ask "why let the General to arrive first" ?;
   • wants all UMNO wings to double their efforts;
   • wants at least 1 % increase in support for the party;
   • wants to win the hearts of the people;
   • is using the tagline "Rakyat didahulukan, Manek Urai diutamakan" ;

6. Now that we have Muhyiddin's gist of statements, let's see what Muhyiddein is saying...
7. Manek Urai to be the start of reversal of BN's fortunes in by-elections wants BN (read UMNO) to win Manek Urai's by-election

   Muhyiddin choose the wrong place to make that statement. It may be safe if he were to make that statement in Johor but in Kelantan? Kelantan has been under PAS's rule for the past 18 years and surviving even without the "blue-eyed" treatment from the federal government. Muhyiddin will have an uphill task to win Manek Urai for BN. Not impossible but extremely difficult.
   

8. reprimanded party workers for turning up late to join the BN entourage to the nomination centre

   The first question is why are the party workers late? Are they too tired after arriving late? Have they been partying the night before? Have they lost their way? Unfortunately, all these reasoning could not be accepted because Manek Urai is as alien to BN as they are to PAS supporters. If PAS supporters can wake up to the call of Azan, why can't BN (read UMNO) supporters did the same? Unless, BN supporters are not used to early wake-up call, despite their many campings and excursions. If that is true, then it points to indiscipline. And if BN (read UMNO) supporters are indiscipline, then why should we give our trust to indisciplined people?
   

9. "why let the General to arrive first"

   Before Muhyiddin can openly make that statement, he should look himself into the mirror and ask that question to himself - how many times has Muhyiddin being punctual in official events when he is the VVIP? How many minutes or hours do guests and participants has to wait for his "grand" appearance? Furthermore, has his "lieutenants" and "sergeant majors" pass the message to the downlines on what time and where is the rendzevous point? UMNO has former army staffs working in their headquarters helmed by Tengku Adnan. If this simple chore cannot be properly executed, then what else can be expected from UMNO? The "General" is doomed to fail without his army and that will be a pitiful scene as there are ever-ready vultures ready to pounce on Muhyiddin's failure.
   

10. wants all UMNO wings to double their efforts
    wants at least 1 % increase in support for the party

    TV3 showed that Shahrizat was in Manek Urai together with KJ, both heading their respective wings. Does this mean that both did not trust their "second-in-command"? And where is the "Putra" head?

    Shahrizat has been heard to comment that only BN provides the basic amenities to the rakyat and belittle PAS for knowing to talk but no action taken. First, Shahrizat must understand that BN did not provide the basic amenities. The present government of the day provides it and that is not out of their own party's pocket but from the taxes and the duties impossed on the rakyat. It is the government's duty to provide the basics. So the question is, is the basics enough? Can better amenities be provided? Is the cost for providing the amenities correct or inflated to feed BN (read UMNO) contractors?

    On 1 % increase in support for BN candidate, let's do some basic calculation based on 2008 election results. During 2008, BN managed to secure 4,394 votes. If Muhyiddin is calling for 1% increase, that will be translated to 44 votes, making BN's target of 4,438. And if 75 % voter turnout n 14th July 2009, then 9,219 will cast their votes. That means PAS still wins the by-election with 4,781 votes ( a reduced majority of 343). But the fact remains, PAS still wins the by-election.
    

11. wants to win the hearts of the people
    "Rakyat didahulukan, Manek Urai diutamakan

    Muhyiddin may be going for the hearts of the people but when he change 1M PM6's tagline, then all the hypocricy is exposed. It bares that BN is only after their votes, afterwhich Manek Urai will be hang dry.
    

12. Yes,the buck's stop here. We are not talking about Buck of the Ice Age 3 fame nor the buck as in male stag. We are talking about buck as in money. BN should stop enticing the voters with money which is akin to vote buying. BN should realise by now that they are backpedalling too long because they employ the same strategy as they used to 50 years ago. It is already an outdated strategy.
13. Muhyiddin may have realised that he is running an uphill battle when the General failed to instill fighting spirit to his disspirited soldiers. If you do not believe, try watching the youtube's video on BN's march to the nomination centre. It is a tell tale sign of a broken army. No fighting spirit, no enthusiasm, no life...even the "salawat" is barely audible...
14. BN may have a big well oiled machinery but the way it's going, BN's machinery is bogged down helplessly in Manek Urai. BN's fighters are more interested in talking about the "opportunities" on the other side of the border.
15. Mustapha Mohamed wants BN to wins the by-election because he needs to show his report card to the boss in KL. His predecessor may be working to make BN's candidate lose so that he can appeal his position to the same boss in KL.
16. Tuan Aziz may be working tirelessly to win the seat but the other 2 "finalists" are ready to trip him along the way. The only thing that BN can hope for is another "big" announcement from PAS's Nasharuddin Isa, if that can be worked out. But, as Muhyiddin says - The bucks stop here...
17. And before this scribe called it a day, another sifu blogger Kickdefella will be exposing his version on the buck stops here, beginning tomorrow where he will be exposing the bare facts on Kelantan oil.
18. Let's hope that Muhyiddin keep on talking to enable us to latch on his endless phrases for blog postings.
    

Till then...G'nite M'sia...wherever u are... Read More